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Tankathon Rankings 2025 Draft


adam

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Of the two other 4-win teams, CAR is at TB and NYJ is at BUF. I don't see either of the lesser teams winning. So our only hope is some 3-win teams move up.

TEN is @JAX, so one of those teams will move to 4 wins.

LVR is @NO, who looked terrible against GB. So LVR could move to 4 wins. 

 

That sets up for some interesting games in Week 18:

MIA @ NYJ - (MIA is terrible in the cold), NYJ could move to 5 wins
JAX @ IND - if JAX beats TEN in Week 17, this could get them to 5 wins
CAR @ ATL - this is the last realistic game where a team could move to 5 wins

Other games:

LAC @ LVR - Is LAC resting starters for WC Weekend?
TEN @ HOU - Is HOU resting starters for WC Weekend?


So the absolute best the Bears could do is 6th, if JAX beats TEN and IND, NYJ beats MIA, and CAR beats ATL. The issue is based on odds, only NYJ is favored to win. That would give the Bears 8th if they don't win again. If they win one more, it looks like 10th is locked in unless NO wins again (they play LVR and TB), so a win is likely against LVR. So figure 8, 9 or 10. 

For CAR, at this point we would rather have the better first-round pick than 2nd. One slot is huge in the first round. So we actually want CAR to win one more. That scenario would give the Bears #8, 40, and 42. or 9, 41 and 42. 9 to 8 is worth a late 3rd round pick.

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7 hours ago, adam said:

Of the two other 4-win teams, CAR is at TB and NYJ is at BUF. I don't see either of the lesser teams winning. So our only hope is some 3-win teams move up.

TEN is @JAX, so one of those teams will move to 4 wins.

LVR is @NO, who looked terrible against GB. So LVR could move to 4 wins. 

 

That sets up for some interesting games in Week 18:

MIA @ NYJ - (MIA is terrible in the cold), NYJ could move to 5 wins
JAX @ IND - if JAX beats TEN in Week 17, this could get them to 5 wins
CAR @ ATL - this is the last realistic game where a team could move to 5 wins

Other games:

LAC @ LVR - Is LAC resting starters for WC Weekend?
TEN @ HOU - Is HOU resting starters for WC Weekend?


So the absolute best the Bears could do is 6th, if JAX beats TEN and IND, NYJ beats MIA, and CAR beats ATL. The issue is based on odds, only NYJ is favored to win. That would give the Bears 8th if they don't win again. If they win one more, it looks like 10th is locked in unless NO wins again (they play LVR and TB), so a win is likely against LVR. So figure 8, 9 or 10. 

For CAR, at this point we would rather have the better first-round pick than 2nd. One slot is huge in the first round. So we actually want CAR to win one more. That scenario would give the Bears #8, 40, and 42. or 9, 41 and 42. 9 to 8 is worth a late 3rd round pick.

lets go Carolina!

and as always, love the ongoing analysis - better than you get anywhere else on the web.

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