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2025 Schedule/Opponents - Oh boy


adam

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Since this season is already over other than for watching the progress of Caleb, I took a look at the 2025 opponents based on the current records and seeding.  On paper, it will be one of the toughest schedules in the league again with only 5-6 "winnable" games. The strong division makes the entire schedule that much tougher.  11 games against teams at .500 or better, 6 games vs sub .500 teams. 

Home
Detroit Lions 9-1
Green Bay Packers 7-3
Minnesota Vikings 8-2
Dallas Cowboys 3-7 (Dak will be back)
New York Giants 2-8 (should be ez win)
Cleveland Browns 2-8 (should be ez win)
Pittsburgh Steelers 8-2
Carolina Panthers 3-7 (currently 4th in NFC S) (should be ez win)

Away
Baltimore Ravens 7-4
Cincinnati Bengals 4-7 (Bengals a lot better than a 4-7 team)
Detroit Lions 9-1
Green Bay Packers  7-3
Minnesota Vikings  8-2
Philadelphia Eagles 8-2
Washington Commanders 7-4
LAR/SEA/SF 5-5 (tied for 4th in NFC W)

17th game - LVR or JAX  (should be ez win)

That is a full season gauntlet with a current record of 92-74 .554. The Bears current SOS is .560 with all 17 games for 2024 with current records. So next season's schedule looks to be comparable. As an expected 5-win team this year, the Bears would be only favored in 4-5 games next season and they may be road dogs for all of them.

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1 hour ago, Stinger226 said:

This yr SF was rated to go to the SB, they are beatable. If Caleb is who we thought he was, they will be afraid to play us.

That's the goal right? Make more of these games winnable, but right now, this is a 5-6 win team. The entire O-Line needs to be overhauled and they need at least another DT and Edge before that can happen. 

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  • 1 month later...
On 11/19/2024 at 7:41 AM, adam said:

Since this season is already over other than for watching the progress of Caleb, I took a look at the 2025 opponents based on the current records and seeding.  On paper, it will be one of the toughest schedules in the league again with only 5-6 "winnable" games. The strong division makes the entire schedule that much tougher.  11 games against teams at .500 or better, 6 games vs sub .500 teams. 

Home
Detroit Lions 9-1
Green Bay Packers 7-3
Minnesota Vikings 8-2
Dallas Cowboys 3-7 (Dak will be back)
New York Giants 2-8 (should be ez win)
Cleveland Browns 2-8 (should be ez win)
Pittsburgh Steelers 8-2
Carolina Panthers 3-7 (currently 4th in NFC S) (should be ez win)

Away
Baltimore Ravens 7-4
Cincinnati Bengals 4-7 (Bengals a lot better than a 4-7 team)
Detroit Lions 9-1
Green Bay Packers  7-3
Minnesota Vikings  8-2
Philadelphia Eagles 8-2
Washington Commanders 7-4
LAR/SEA/SF 5-5 (tied for 4th in NFC W)

17th game - LVR (should be ez win)

That is a full season gauntlet with a current record of 92-74 .554. The Bears current SOS is .560 with all 17 games for 2024 with current records. So next season's schedule looks to be comparable. As an expected 5-win team this year, the Bears would be only favored in 4-5 games next season and they may be road dogs for all of them.

I know it is still early, but this looks worse now than it did a month ago lol. 

10x games vs teams that currently have 10+ wins (not just winning teams, elite teams)
2x games against 7-8 teams (CIN and DAL)
1x SFO (not a true last place team)
4x games vs bad teams (CAR, CLE, LVR, and NYG, but CAR is improving)

SFO was ravaged with injuries, so they are not a true last place team. DAL has been without Dak for much of the season, so they will be better than a 7-8 team. CIN should also be better.

So the Bears, a current 4-win team needs to improve in the offseason to the point where they can compete with the likes of DET, MIN, GB, PHI, WAS, PIT, and BAL if they even want a shot at a winning record next season. 

If you give them every game against a 7-8 team and lower, that's only 7 games. I know teams change from year to year, but teams like BAL, PIT, PHI, DET, and GB all had winning records pretty much every year. That leaves MIN and WAS. 

The Bears need to open the wallet and bring in impact FAs and nail the draft. Otherwise, I don't see how this is not a 5 to 6 win team next year.

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